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タイトルAccelerated Monte Carlo Simulation for Safety Analysis of the Advanced Airspace Concept
本文(外部サイト)http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20110008380
著者(英)Thipphavong, David
著者所属(英)NASA Ames Research Center
発行日2010-09-13
言語eng
内容記述Safe separation of aircraft is a primary objective of any air traffic control system. An accelerated Monte Carlo approach was developed to assess the level of safety provided by a proposed next-generation air traffic control system. It combines features of fault tree and standard Monte Carlo methods. It runs more than one order of magnitude faster than the standard Monte Carlo method while providing risk estimates that only differ by about 10%. It also preserves component-level model fidelity that is difficult to maintain using the standard fault tree method. This balance of speed and fidelity allows sensitivity analysis to be completed in days instead of weeks or months with the standard Monte Carlo method. Results indicate that risk estimates are sensitive to transponder, pilot visual avoidance, and conflict detection failure probabilities.
NASA分類Air Transportation and Safety
レポートNOARC-E-DAA-TN2139
権利No Copyright
URIhttps://repository.exst.jaxa.jp/dspace/handle/a-is/248017


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