| タイトル | Climate Impacts Research: Beyond Patchwork |
| 本文（外部サイト） | http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20150004141 |
| 著者（英） | Haddeland, I.; Kabat, P.; Schellnhuber, H. J.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Arnell, N. W.; Frieler, K.; Gerten, D.; Huber, V.; Rosenzweig, Cynthia E.; Friend, A. D. |
| 著者所属（英） | NASA Goddard Space Flight Center |
| 発行日 | 2014-11-13 |
| 言語 | eng |
| 内容記述 | Despite significant progress in climate impact research, the narratives that science can presently piece together of a 2, 3, 4, or 5 C warmer world remain fragmentary. Here we briefly review past undertakings to characterize comprehensively and quantify climate impacts based on multi-model approaches. We then report on the Inter-Sectorial Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), a community-driven effort to compare impact models across sectors and scales systematically, and to quantify the uncertainties along the chain from greenhouse gas emissions and climate input data to the modeling of climate impacts themselves. We show how ISI-MIP and similar efforts can substantially advance the science relevant to impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, and we outline the steps that need to be taken in order to make the most of the available modeling tools. We discuss pertinent limitations of these methods and how they could be tackled. We argue that it is time to consolidate the current patchwork of impact knowledge through integrated cross-sectorial assessments, and that the climate impact community is now in a favorable position to do so. |
| NASA分類 | Meteorology and Climatology |
| レポートNO | GSFC-E-DAA-TN19016 |
| 権利 | Copyright, Distribution as joint owner in the copyright |
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